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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Mazuma Mobile Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

23%

Morecambe

4.28

31%

Draw

3.23

46%

AFC Wimbledon

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.2%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.73

Morecambe xG

Total xG

1.88

1.15

AFC Wimbledon xG

23%
31%
46%
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon

4.28

23%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

32%

Morecambe

3.16

48%

AFC Wimbledon

2.08

Win to Nil

7%

Morecambe

13.54

22%

AFC Wimbledon

4.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2 17.5 10.1 3.9 1.1 0.3
1 11.1 12.8 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 4.1 4.7 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.733
λ Away (xG) 1.152
Total xG 1.885
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Morecambe attack strength 0.836
Morecambe defence strength 1.221
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.877
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.689
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 79