Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Mazuma Mobile Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

31%

Morecambe

3.18

25%

Draw

3.94

43%

Accrington ST

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Morecambe xG

Total xG

2.96

1.61

Accrington ST xG

31%
25%
43%
MorecambeDrawAccrington ST

3.18

31%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

20%

Morecambe

5.02

26%

Accrington ST

3.84

Win to Nil

6%

Morecambe

16.00

11%

Accrington ST

8.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.4 6.7 3.6 1.5 0.5
1 7.0 11.3 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.7 7.6 6.1 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.346
λ Away (xG) 1.614
Total xG 2.960
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.120
Morecambe attack strength 0.911
Morecambe defence strength 1.347
Accrington ST attack strength 1.069
Accrington ST defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 75