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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

39%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.54

26%

Draw

3.90

35%

Swindon Town

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.96

1.43

Swindon Town xG

39%
26%
35%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawSwindon Town

2.54

39%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

24%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.18

22%

Swindon Town

4.60

Win to Nil

9%

Milton Keynes Dons

10.64

8%

Swindon Town

13.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.4 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.9 11.3 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 1.431
Total xG 2.957
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.271
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.220
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.960
Swindon Town attack strength 1.173
Swindon Town defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67