Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

45%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.23

28%

Draw

3.55

27%

Notts County

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 0

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.38

1.00

Notts County xG

45%
28%
27%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawNotts County

2.23

45%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

37%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.73

25%

Notts County

3.94

Win to Nil

16%

Milton Keynes Dons

6.09

7%

Notts County

14.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.3 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 12.8 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.8 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 1.004
Total xG 2.376
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.209
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.182
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.882
Notts County attack strength 0.941
Notts County defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68