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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

54%

Milton Keynes Dons

1.85

24%

Draw

4.11

22%

Notts County

4.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.87

1.07

Notts County xG

54%
24%
22%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawNotts County

1.85

54%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.60

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

34%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.91

17%

Notts County

6.06

Win to Nil

19%

Milton Keynes Dons

5.39

4%

Notts County

27.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.1 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.2 10.9 5.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.8 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.5 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.801
λ Away (xG) 1.067
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.189
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.166
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.891
Notts County attack strength 1.007
Notts County defence strength 1.210
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 66