Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

71%

Milton Keynes Dons

1.41

17%

Draw

5.85

12%

Newport County

8.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.39

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

3.26

0.87

Newport County xG

71%
17%
12%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawNewport County

1.41

71%

Home win

5.85

17%

Draw

8.38

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

42%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.40

9%

Newport County

10.91

Win to Nil

30%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.38

1%

Newport County

91.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.1 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 10.9 9.5 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.7 7.6 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 5.2 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.390
λ Away (xG) 0.874
Total xG 3.264
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.194
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.299
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.894
Newport County attack strength 0.819
Newport County defence strength 1.449
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76