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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

45%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.24

25%

Draw

3.93

30%

Newport County

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.83

1.25

Newport County xG

45%
25%
30%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawNewport County

2.24

45%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

29%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.50

21%

Newport County

4.85

Win to Nil

13%

Milton Keynes Dons

7.85

6%

Newport County

16.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.4 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 9.3 11.7 7.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.579
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.832
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.120
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 0.836
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.264
Newport County attack strength 0.886
Newport County defence strength 1.415
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88