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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

45%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.22

31%

Draw

3.26

24%

Morecambe

4.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

1.93

0.77

Morecambe xG

45%
31%
24%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawMorecambe

2.22

45%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

4.12

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

46%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.15

31%

Morecambe

3.19

Win to Nil

21%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.78

8%

Morecambe

13.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 11.2 4.3 1.1 0.2
1 16.9 13.0 5.0 1.3 0.2
2 9.8 7.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 3.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.161
λ Away (xG) 0.767
Total xG 1.928
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.071
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 0.843
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.970
Morecambe attack strength 0.738
Morecambe defence strength 1.082
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 81