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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 6 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

40%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.47

27%

Draw

3.65

32%

Grimsby

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.42

1.12

Grimsby xG

40%
27%
32%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawGrimsby

2.47

40%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

33%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.07

27%

Grimsby

3.65

Win to Nil

13%

Milton Keynes Dons

7.59

9%

Grimsby

11.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 10.0 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.5 13.0 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 8.4 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.296
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.179
League avg away goals 1.139
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.075
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.851
Grimsby attack strength 1.158
Grimsby defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52