Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

31%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.23

26%

Draw

3.86

43%

Gillingham

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.64

1.45

Gillingham xG

31%
26%
43%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawGillingham

3.23

31%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

23%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.26

30%

Gillingham

3.28

Win to Nil

7%

Milton Keynes Dons

13.74

13%

Gillingham

7.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 10.4 7.5 3.6 1.3 0.4
1 8.5 12.3 8.9 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.1 7.3 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.0 2.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.189
λ Away (xG) 1.449
Total xG 2.638
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.169
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.004
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.108
Gillingham attack strength 1.119
Gillingham defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56