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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

36%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.77

31%

Draw

3.21

33%

Crewe

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.21

1.07

Crewe xG

36%
31%
33%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawCrewe

2.77

36%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

34%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.92

32%

Crewe

3.11

Win to Nil

12%

Milton Keynes Dons

8.10

11%

Crewe

9.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 11.8 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 13.4 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.1
2 7.1 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.136
λ Away (xG) 1.071
Total xG 2.207
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.162
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.035
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.982
Crewe attack strength 0.938
Crewe defence strength 0.835
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67