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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

70%

Milton Keynes Dons

1.43

19%

Draw

5.17

11%

Crawley Town

9.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.67

0.64

Crawley Town xG

70%
19%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawCrawley Town

1.43

70%

Home win

5.17

19%

Draw

9.35

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

53%

Milton Keynes Dons

1.90

13%

Crawley Town

7.59

Win to Nil

37%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.72

1%

Crawley Town

71.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 4.5 1.4 0.3
1 14.1 9.0 2.9 0.6 0.1
2 14.2 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 9.6 6.2 2.0 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 3.1 1.0 0.2
5 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.027
λ Away (xG) 0.642
Total xG 2.669
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.168
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.202
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.842
Crawley Town attack strength 0.653
Crawley Town defence strength 1.321
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 32