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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

12:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

50%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.01

24%

Draw

4.13

26%

Chesterfield

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.83

1.15

Chesterfield xG

50%
24%
26%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawChesterfield

2.01

50%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

32%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.16

19%

Chesterfield

5.34

Win to Nil

16%

Milton Keynes Dons

6.36

5%

Chesterfield

20.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.9 11.4 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.6 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.3 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.675
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 2.825
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.212
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.193
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.887
Chesterfield attack strength 1.070
Chesterfield defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70