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Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Tue 3 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

37%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.69

24%

Draw

4.12

39%

Chesterfield

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

3.18

1.60

Chesterfield xG

37%
24%
39%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawChesterfield

2.69

37%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

20%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.97

21%

Chesterfield

4.82

Win to Nil

7%

Milton Keynes Dons

13.38

8%

Chesterfield

12.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.7 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.4
1 6.6 10.5 8.4 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.3 6.6 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.7 4.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.572
λ Away (xG) 1.604
Total xG 3.176
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.237
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.245
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.958
Chesterfield attack strength 1.353
Chesterfield defence strength 1.047
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 17