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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

67%

Milton Keynes Dons

1.49

18%

Draw

5.67

15%

Barrow

6.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.45

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

3.55

1.10

Barrow xG

67%
18%
15%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawBarrow

1.49

67%

Home win

5.67

18%

Draw

6.57

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

33%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.99

9%

Barrow

11.62

Win to Nil

22%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.46

1%

Barrow

76.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.1 7.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 7.1 7.8 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.453
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 3.549
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.158
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.235
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.926
Barrow attack strength 1.022
Barrow defence strength 1.635
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 85