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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium MK

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

52%

Milton Keynes Dons

1.91

27%

Draw

3.66

20%

Accrington ST

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Milton Keynes Dons xG

Total xG

2.18

0.77

Accrington ST xG

52%
27%
20%
Milton Keynes DonsDrawAccrington ST

1.91

52%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

46%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.15

24%

Accrington ST

4.11

Win to Nil

24%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.11

5%

Accrington ST

20.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 8.7 3.3 0.8 0.2
1 16.0 12.2 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.3 8.7 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.3 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.413
λ Away (xG) 0.766
Total xG 2.179
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.140
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.120
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.027
Accrington ST attack strength 0.654
Accrington ST defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 53