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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Walsall cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Harrogate Town.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Walsall beat Harrogate Town 0-2 at Exercise Stadium, Regular Season - 17, in the League Two. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Harrogate Town 0.94 xG and Walsall 1.60 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Harrogate Town fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Harrogate Town attack 0.78 / defence 1.20 against Walsall attack 1.13 / defence 0.90, drawn from 62/62 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Harrogate Town 22% | Draw 25% | Walsall 53%, with Walsall to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Harrogate Town 42%, Walsall 48%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Harrogate Town's trading profile (62 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Walsall's trading profile (62 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Walsall arrived the stronger side — 1.71 PPG against 1.10. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Harrogate Town (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.10 scoring average — below par going forward. Walsall (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.97 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights