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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Harrogate Town Win
42%
2.40
31%
3.23
27%
3.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.9%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.3%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.11
Harrogate Town xG
Total xG
1.94
0.84
Carlisle xG
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle
2.40
42%
Home win
3.23
31%
Draw
3.65
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.64
62%
BTTS No
1.61
Clean Sheet
43%
2.31
33%
3.02
Win to Nil
18%
5.54
9%
11.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.3 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.9 | 13.3 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.106
λ Away (xG)
0.836
Total xG
1.942
League avg home goals
1.273
League avg away goals
1.071
Harrogate Town attack strength
0.847
Harrogate Town defence strength
1.039
Carlisle attack strength
0.751
Carlisle defence strength
1.025
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
81 / 34