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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

32%

Grimsby

3.12

27%

Draw

3.72

41%

Swindon Town

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.62

1.41

Swindon Town xG

32%
27%
41%
GrimsbyDrawSwindon Town

3.12

32%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

24%

Grimsby

4.09

30%

Swindon Town

3.37

Win to Nil

8%

Grimsby

12.75

12%

Swindon Town

8.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.2 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 8.8 12.4 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.4 7.5 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.2 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.214
λ Away (xG) 1.408
Total xG 2.622
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.120
Grimsby attack strength 0.965
Grimsby defence strength 1.070
Swindon Town attack strength 1.175
Swindon Town defence strength 0.943
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88