Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Port Vale Win

32%

Grimsby

3.13

29%

Draw

3.41

39%

Port Vale

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.45

1.30

Port Vale xG

32%
29%
39%
GrimsbyDrawPort Vale

3.13

32%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

27%

Grimsby

3.65

32%

Port Vale

3.17

Win to Nil

9%

Grimsby

11.45

12%

Port Vale

8.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 11.2 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 10.0 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.7 7.4 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.154
λ Away (xG) 1.296
Total xG 2.450
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.162
Grimsby attack strength 1.044
Grimsby defence strength 1.382
Port Vale attack strength 0.806
Port Vale defence strength 0.840
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22