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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

48%

Grimsby

2.09

27%

Draw

3.68

25%

Newport County

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.66

1.08

Newport County xG

48%
27%
25%
GrimsbyDrawNewport County

2.09

48%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

34%

Grimsby

2.94

21%

Newport County

4.85

Win to Nil

16%

Grimsby

6.13

5%

Newport County

19.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.1 11.9 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.4 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.6 5.0 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.578
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.655
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.090
Grimsby attack strength 1.111
Grimsby defence strength 0.980
Newport County attack strength 1.008
Newport County defence strength 1.113
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48