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Grimsby vs Harrogate Town – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

39%

Grimsby

2.56

26%

Draw

3.78

34%

Harrogate Town

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.81

1.36

Harrogate Town xG

39%
26%
34%
GrimsbyDrawHarrogate Town

2.56

39%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

26%

Grimsby

3.88

23%

Harrogate Town

4.29

Win to Nil

10%

Grimsby

9.94

8%

Harrogate Town

12.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.1 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 8.7 11.9 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.6 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.457
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 2.813
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.189
Grimsby attack strength 1.036
Grimsby defence strength 1.393
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.819
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67