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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

45%

Grimsby

2.23

26%

Draw

3.85

29%

Crewe

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Grimsby xG

Total xG

2.59

1.13

Crewe xG

45%
26%
29%
GrimsbyDrawCrewe

2.23

45%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

32%

Grimsby

3.09

23%

Crewe

4.32

Win to Nil

15%

Grimsby

6.89

7%

Crewe

14.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.4 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.4 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.464
λ Away (xG) 1.128
Total xG 2.592
League avg home goals 1.228
League avg away goals 1.172
Grimsby attack strength 1.212
Grimsby defence strength 0.927
Crewe attack strength 1.038
Crewe defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 88