Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 15 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Blundell Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

58%

Grimsby

1.71

20%

Draw

4.89

21%

Chesterfield

4.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Grimsby xG

Total xG

3.37

1.22

Chesterfield xG

58%
20%
21%
GrimsbyDrawChesterfield

1.71

58%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

4.74

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

29%

Grimsby

3.40

12%

Chesterfield

8.56

Win to Nil

17%

Grimsby

5.82

2%

Chesterfield

40.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.4 9.0 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.7 6.9 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.147
λ Away (xG) 1.224
Total xG 3.371
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.207
Grimsby attack strength 1.203
Grimsby defence strength 0.961
Chesterfield attack strength 1.055
Chesterfield defence strength 1.307
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61