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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Priestfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

26%

Gillingham

3.87

32%

Draw

3.14

42%

Swindon Town

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Gillingham xG

Total xG

2.01

1.16

Swindon Town xG

26%
32%
42%
GillinghamDrawSwindon Town

3.87

26%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

31%

Gillingham

3.20

43%

Swindon Town

2.33

Win to Nil

8%

Gillingham

12.38

18%

Swindon Town

5.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 15.6 9.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 11.3 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.8 5.6 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.846
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 2.009
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.142
Gillingham attack strength 0.743
Gillingham defence strength 0.775
Swindon Town attack strength 1.315
Swindon Town defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90