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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Priestfield Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gillingham Win

49%

Gillingham

2.03

25%

Draw

3.99

26%

Newport County

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Gillingham xG

Total xG

2.76

1.12

Newport County xG

49%
25%
26%
GillinghamDrawNewport County

2.03

49%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

33%

Gillingham

3.06

19%

Newport County

5.17

Win to Nil

16%

Gillingham

6.20

5%

Newport County

20.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.1 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.4 11.6 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.7 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.642
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 2.759
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.212
Gillingham attack strength 0.974
Gillingham defence strength 0.995
Newport County attack strength 0.926
Newport County defence strength 1.326
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70