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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
52%
1.93
25%
4.00
23%
4.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.79
Crewe xG
Total xG
2.92
1.13
Milton Keynes Dons xG
CreweDrawMilton Keynes Dons
1.93
52%
Home win
4.00
25%
Draw
4.31
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.74
43%
BTTS No
2.34
Clean Sheet
32%
3.11
17%
5.97
Win to Nil
17%
6.00
4%
25.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 10.9 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.786
λ Away (xG)
1.134
Total xG
2.920
League avg home goals
1.302
League avg away goals
1.123
Crewe attack strength
0.996
Crewe defence strength
1.139
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength
0.887
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength
1.378
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
89 / 89