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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Mornflake Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

47%

Crewe

2.12

29%

Draw

3.47

24%

Colchester

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.23

0.88

Colchester xG

47%
29%
24%
CreweDrawColchester

2.12

47%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

41%

Crewe

2.41

26%

Colchester

3.87

Win to Nil

20%

Crewe

5.11

6%

Colchester

16.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 9.4 4.2 1.2 0.3
1 14.5 12.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 8.6 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 4.4 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.352
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 2.233
League avg home goals 1.244
League avg away goals 1.203
Crewe attack strength 1.062
Crewe defence strength 0.882
Colchester attack strength 0.831
Colchester defence strength 1.024
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65