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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Thu 10 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Mornflake Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

50%

Crewe

2.00

25%

Draw

3.97

25%

Cheltenham

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.64

1.05

Cheltenham xG

50%
25%
25%
CreweDrawCheltenham

2.00

50%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

35%

Crewe

2.85

20%

Cheltenham

4.90

Win to Nil

18%

Crewe

5.71

5%

Cheltenham

19.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.5 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.4 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.590
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.637
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.090
Crewe attack strength 0.981
Crewe defence strength 1.039
Cheltenham attack strength 0.924
Cheltenham defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 41