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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Alexandra Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

67%

Crewe

1.49

19%

Draw

5.40

14%

Bristol Rovers

6.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.39

Crewe xG

Total xG

3.43

1.04

Bristol Rovers xG

67%
19%
14%
CreweDrawBristol Rovers

1.49

67%

Home win

5.40

19%

Draw

6.92

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

35%

Crewe

2.82

9%

Bristol Rovers

10.92

Win to Nil

24%

Crewe

4.21

1%

Bristol Rovers

75.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.8 8.0 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 9.6 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.4 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 4.4 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.391
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 3.428
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.278
Crewe attack strength 1.157
Crewe defence strength 1.191
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.681
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.532
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 20