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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Mornflake Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

36%

Crewe

2.81

32%

Draw

3.14

33%

AFC Wimbledon

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.13

1.04

AFC Wimbledon xG

36%
32%
33%
CreweDrawAFC Wimbledon

2.81

36%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

35%

Crewe

2.83

33%

AFC Wimbledon

2.99

Win to Nil

13%

Crewe

7.95

11%

AFC Wimbledon

9.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 12.3 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.0 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.1 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.096
λ Away (xG) 1.039
Total xG 2.135
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.151
Crewe attack strength 1.112
Crewe defence strength 0.904
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.999
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.755
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 71