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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Alexandra Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

39%

Crewe

2.56

30%

Draw

3.28

31%

Accrington ST

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.28

1.06

Accrington ST xG

39%
30%
31%
CreweDrawAccrington ST

2.56

39%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.28

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

35%

Crewe

2.87

29%

Accrington ST

3.41

Win to Nil

14%

Crewe

7.37

9%

Accrington ST

11.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.8 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.2 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 8.1 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.3 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.056
Total xG 2.283
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.039
Crewe attack strength 0.980
Crewe defence strength 1.065
Accrington ST attack strength 0.954
Accrington ST defence strength 1.011
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47