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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
56%
1.79
23%
4.40
21%
4.67
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.2%
Draw
2 – 0
7.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.10
Crewe xG
Total xG
3.35
1.25
Accrington ST xG
CreweDrawAccrington ST
1.79
56%
Home win
4.40
23%
Draw
4.67
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.75
Clean Sheet
29%
3.50
12%
8.15
Win to Nil
16%
6.26
3%
38.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.098
λ Away (xG)
1.253
Total xG
3.351
League avg home goals
1.312
League avg away goals
1.166
Crewe attack strength
1.242
Crewe defence strength
0.920
Accrington ST attack strength
1.168
Accrington ST defence strength
1.288
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
72 / 70