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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 10 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Colchester Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

36%

Colchester

2.74

28%

Draw

3.58

36%

Swindon Town

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.37

1.17

Swindon Town xG

36%
28%
36%
ColchesterDrawSwindon Town

2.74

36%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

31%

Colchester

3.23

30%

Swindon Town

3.29

Win to Nil

11%

Colchester

8.87

11%

Swindon Town

9.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 11.0 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.6 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.192
λ Away (xG) 1.174
Total xG 2.366
League avg home goals 1.211
League avg away goals 1.176
Colchester attack strength 1.052
Colchester defence strength 0.925
Swindon Town attack strength 1.080
Swindon Town defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 88