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Colchester vs Newport County – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

JobServe Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

52%

Colchester

1.93

27%

Draw

3.77

22%

Newport County

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.52

0.94

Newport County xG

52%
27%
22%
ColchesterDrawNewport County

1.93

52%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

39%

Colchester

2.55

21%

Newport County

4.87

Win to Nil

20%

Colchester

4.93

4%

Newport County

22.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.5 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 12.7 11.9 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.584
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.245
Colchester attack strength 1.073
Colchester defence strength 0.882
Newport County attack strength 0.854
Newport County defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64