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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

JobServe Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

51%

Colchester

1.98

27%

Draw

3.67

22%

Chesterfield

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Colchester xG

Total xG

2.24

0.83

Chesterfield xG

51%
27%
22%
ColchesterDrawChesterfield

1.98

51%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

44%

Colchester

2.29

24%

Chesterfield

4.09

Win to Nil

22%

Colchester

4.53

5%

Chesterfield

18.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 8.8 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 15.0 12.5 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.6 8.8 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 5.0 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.409
λ Away (xG) 0.830
Total xG 2.239
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Colchester attack strength 0.987
Colchester defence strength 0.872
Chesterfield attack strength 0.885
Chesterfield defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 32