Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Colchester Community Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colchester Win

38%

Colchester

2.63

34%

Draw

2.93

28%

Barrow

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Colchester xG

Total xG

1.78

0.80

Barrow xG

38%
34%
28%
ColchesterDrawBarrow

2.63

38%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.86

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

45%

Colchester

2.22

37%

Barrow

2.67

Win to Nil

17%

Colchester

5.82

10%

Barrow

9.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9 13.5 5.4 1.4 0.3
1 16.6 13.2 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 8.1 6.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
3 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.982
λ Away (xG) 0.796
Total xG 1.778
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.121
Colchester attack strength 0.889
Colchester defence strength 0.963
Barrow attack strength 0.737
Barrow defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50