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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Colchester Win
56%
1.79
25%
4.00
19%
5.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.85
Colchester xG
Total xG
2.87
1.02
Accrington ST xG
ColchesterDrawAccrington ST
1.79
56%
Home win
4.00
25%
Draw
5.19
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.23
Clean Sheet
36%
2.77
16%
6.39
Win to Nil
20%
4.97
3%
33.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 10.7 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.854
λ Away (xG)
1.018
Total xG
2.872
League avg home goals
1.343
League avg away goals
1.191
Colchester attack strength
0.984
Colchester defence strength
0.780
Accrington ST attack strength
1.097
Accrington ST defence strength
1.404
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
69 / 68