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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

48%

Chesterfield

2.09

23%

Draw

4.41

29%

Swindon Town

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

3.24

1.40

Swindon Town xG

48%
23%
29%
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town

2.09

48%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

25%

Chesterfield

4.06

16%

Swindon Town

6.30

Win to Nil

12%

Chesterfield

8.46

5%

Swindon Town

21.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.5 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.2 10.1 7.1 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.840
λ Away (xG) 1.400
Total xG 3.240
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.202
Chesterfield attack strength 1.292
Chesterfield defence strength 1.073
Swindon Town attack strength 1.085
Swindon Town defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63