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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

52%

Chesterfield

1.94

22%

Draw

4.51

26%

Newport County

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

3.24

1.32

Newport County xG

52%
22%
26%
ChesterfieldDrawNewport County

1.94

52%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

27%

Chesterfield

3.73

15%

Newport County

6.85

Win to Nil

14%

Chesterfield

7.22

4%

Newport County

26.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.2 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.5 9.9 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.6 6.1 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.924
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 3.240
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.071
Chesterfield attack strength 1.198
Chesterfield defence strength 1.220
Newport County attack strength 1.007
Newport County defence strength 1.261
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 80