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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

44%

Chesterfield

2.28

25%

Draw

3.93

31%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.72

1.21

Milton Keynes Dons xG

44%
25%
31%
ChesterfieldDrawMilton Keynes Dons

2.28

44%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

30%

Chesterfield

3.37

22%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.49

Win to Nil

13%

Chesterfield

7.67

7%

Milton Keynes Dons

14.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 9.9 12.1 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.1 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.214
Total xG 2.716
League avg home goals 1.172
League avg away goals 1.145
Chesterfield attack strength 1.327
Chesterfield defence strength 1.030
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.030
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53