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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

42%

Chesterfield

2.35

25%

Draw

3.98

32%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

3.26

1.51

Milton Keynes Dons xG

42%
25%
32%
ChesterfieldDrawMilton Keynes Dons

2.35

42%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

22%

Chesterfield

4.54

17%

Milton Keynes Dons

5.77

Win to Nil

9%

Chesterfield

10.67

6%

Milton Keynes Dons

17.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.8 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.3
1 6.7 10.1 7.7 3.9 1.5 0.4
2 5.9 8.9 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 3.4 5.2 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 2.3 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.752
λ Away (xG) 1.512
Total xG 3.264
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.161
Chesterfield attack strength 0.942
Chesterfield defence strength 0.975
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.335
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.406
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 67