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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

55%

Chesterfield

1.81

25%

Draw

4.05

20%

Harrogate Town

4.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.50

0.88

Harrogate Town xG

55%
25%
20%
ChesterfieldDrawHarrogate Town

1.81

55%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

4.96

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

42%

Chesterfield

2.40

20%

Harrogate Town

5.09

Win to Nil

23%

Chesterfield

4.36

4%

Harrogate Town

25.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 13.3 11.7 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.5 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 5.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.628
λ Away (xG) 0.876
Total xG 2.504
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.083
Chesterfield attack strength 1.166
Chesterfield defence strength 1.204
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.672
Harrogate Town defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 83