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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

59%

Chesterfield

1.71

23%

Draw

4.42

19%

Fleetwood Town

5.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.76

0.93

Fleetwood Town xG

59%
23%
19%
ChesterfieldDrawFleetwood Town

1.71

59%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

5.33

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

40%

Chesterfield

2.53

16%

Fleetwood Town

6.23

Win to Nil

23%

Chesterfield

4.32

3%

Fleetwood Town

33.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.6 10.8 5.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.830
λ Away (xG) 0.928
Total xG 2.758
League avg home goals 1.333
League avg away goals 1.174
Chesterfield attack strength 1.363
Chesterfield defence strength 0.878
Fleetwood Town attack strength 0.900
Fleetwood Town defence strength 1.007
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58