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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

52%

Chesterfield

1.91

22%

Draw

4.58

26%

Cheltenham

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

3.31

1.33

Cheltenham xG

52%
22%
26%
ChesterfieldDrawCheltenham

1.91

52%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

26%

Chesterfield

3.79

14%

Cheltenham

7.21

Win to Nil

14%

Chesterfield

7.23

4%

Cheltenham

28.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.9 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.2 9.6 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.3
2 7.1 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.7 6.3 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.976
λ Away (xG) 1.332
Total xG 3.308
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.158
Chesterfield attack strength 1.144
Chesterfield defence strength 1.119
Cheltenham attack strength 1.028
Cheltenham defence strength 1.421
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 84