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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

55%

Chesterfield

1.82

26%

Draw

3.92

19%

Cambridge United

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.49

0.86

Cambridge United xG

55%
26%
19%
ChesterfieldDrawCambridge United

1.82

55%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

42%

Chesterfield

2.36

20%

Cambridge United

5.09

Win to Nil

23%

Chesterfield

4.29

4%

Cambridge United

26.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 7.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 13.5 11.6 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.5 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.0 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.627
λ Away (xG) 0.860
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.209
Chesterfield attack strength 1.359
Chesterfield defence strength 0.983
Cambridge United attack strength 0.723
Cambridge United defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22