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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

59%

Chesterfield

1.68

24%

Draw

4.10

16%

Bristol Rovers

6.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.69

0.86

Bristol Rovers xG

59%
24%
16%
ChesterfieldDrawBristol Rovers

1.68

59%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

6.17

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

42%

Chesterfield

2.36

16%

Bristol Rovers

6.23

Win to Nil

25%

Chesterfield

3.97

3%

Bristol Rovers

38.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.4 10.7 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.9 6.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
4 3.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.830
λ Away (xG) 0.858
Total xG 2.688
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.079
Chesterfield attack strength 1.178
Chesterfield defence strength 0.918
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.866
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.229
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 2