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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

46%

Chesterfield

2.16

26%

Draw

3.78

27%

Barrow

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.62

1.10

Barrow xG

46%
26%
27%
ChesterfieldDrawBarrow

2.16

46%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

33%

Chesterfield

3.02

22%

Barrow

4.56

Win to Nil

15%

Chesterfield

6.51

6%

Barrow

16.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.0 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.2 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.7 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.518
λ Away (xG) 1.105
Total xG 2.623
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.129
Chesterfield attack strength 1.183
Chesterfield defence strength 1.022
Barrow attack strength 0.958
Barrow defence strength 0.939
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46