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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

42%

Chesterfield

2.39

26%

Draw

3.80

32%

Barnet

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.64

1.22

Barnet xG

42%
26%
32%
ChesterfieldDrawBarnet

2.39

42%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

30%

Chesterfield

3.37

24%

Barnet

4.17

Win to Nil

12%

Chesterfield

8.06

8%

Barnet

13.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 10.2 12.3 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.8 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.429
λ Away (xG) 1.215
Total xG 2.644
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.237
Chesterfield attack strength 1.216
Chesterfield defence strength 1.081
Barnet attack strength 0.908
Barnet defence strength 0.860
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 19