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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

25%

Chesterfield

3.98

27%

Draw

3.71

48%

AFC Wimbledon

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.53

1.51

AFC Wimbledon xG

25%
27%
48%
ChesterfieldDrawAFC Wimbledon

3.98

25%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

22%

Chesterfield

4.51

36%

AFC Wimbledon

2.78

Win to Nil

6%

Chesterfield

17.97

17%

AFC Wimbledon

5.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 12.0 9.1 4.6 1.7 0.5
1 8.1 12.3 9.3 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 4.2 6.3 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.021
λ Away (xG) 1.507
Total xG 2.528
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.194
Chesterfield attack strength 0.970
Chesterfield defence strength 1.090
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.158
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 65